Times Australia Today

Elders Real Estate

Property Market

Renting in Australia

Australia does not have enough homes

The New Rules, Pressures and Realities of a Market Under Extreme Stress

Australia’s rental market is now one of the tightest and most expensive in the developed world. Vacancy rates have hit historic lows. Rents have risen at their fastest pace in decades. Housing supply hasn’t kept up with population growth. Students returned after the pandemic in record numbers. Investors have exited the market. Construction is stalled. And every capital city is under pressure.

For millions of Australians, renting is no longer a short-term phase — it is a long-term reality.

And that long-term reality is more competitive, more expensive and more stressful than ever.

This article breaks down exactly what renting in Australia looks like in 2025, why it’s so tough, and what may change by 2030.

THE SHORT VERSION — WHAT THIS MEANS FOR YOU

  • Vacancy rates are below 1% in every capital city

  • Rents have risen 9–15% year-on-year depending on state

  • More Australians are renting long-term or permanently

  • Investors have pulled back, shrinking rental supply

  • Students and migrants compete for limited homes

  • Applications per property have surged

  • Renting costs more than mortgage repayments in some suburbs

  • Short-term rentals (Airbnb) remove thousands of homes from the market

  • Building enough new homes will take years

  • Rent stress now affects middle-income earners, not just low-income ones

Renting in Australia now feels like a competition — not a transaction.

1. WHY THE RENTAL MARKET IS SO TIGHT

The core reason is simple:

Too many people, not enough homes.

Australia hasn’t built enough housing for almost two decades. But the pandemic and post-pandemic surge intensified the crisis.

Drivers of extreme rental pressure:

  • Underbuilding for 15+ years

  • Slow construction activity

  • Builder collapses

  • Rapid migration recovery

  • High student arrivals

  • Low investor activity

  • Airbnb removing long-term rentals

  • Higher household formation (people living alone)

  • Population growth stronger than forecasts

“This is not a renter’s crisis — it is a national housing crisis.”

Renters feel it most because they are at the bottom of the housing supply chain.

2. VACANCY RATES ARE AT RECORD LOWS

Vacancy rates below 2% indicate a tight rental market.
Below 1% signals crisis.

In 2025, every major city is below 1%.

Rental Vacancy Rates (Early 2025)

City Vacancy Rate
Sydney 0.9%
Melbourne 0.8%
Brisbane 0.7%
Perth 0.5%
Adelaide 0.6%
Hobart 0.9%
Canberra 1.0%
Darwin 0.9%

Chart (described): Vacancy rates falling from 2–3% in 2017 to <1% in 2024–2025.

There are simply not enough homes to meet demand.

3. HOW MUCH RENTS HAVE ACTUALLY RISEN

Rents are rising faster than wages, and faster than inflation.

Annual Rent Increases (Approx.)

State/City Yearly Increase
Brisbane 12–14%
Perth 13–15%
Sydney 10–12%
Adelaide 11–13%
Melbourne 9–10%
Regional QLD 15%+
Regional WA 12–18%

Why the increases vary:

  • Perth and Brisbane have major supply shortages

  • Sydney has high demand from students and workers

  • Melbourne is absorbing a large international student surge

  • Regional areas face tourism and Airbnb pressures

Rent stress affects nearly every demographic.

4. MORE AUSTRALIANS ARE RENTING LONGER OR PERMANENTLY

Renting was once a temporary stage.

Now it is a long-term reality for millions.

Trends (2010–2025):

  • Home ownership for under 35s down sharply

  • Long-term renting up significantly

  • Families renting more common

  • Single-person households rising

  • Older renters increasing (a major social risk)

Who is renting now:

  • Professionals

  • Students

  • Young families

  • Migrants

  • Singles

  • Lower- and middle-income earners

  • Older Australians without assets

Renting is no longer a niche — it is mainstream.

5. INVESTORS HAVE EXITED THE MARKET

Investors supply most of Australia’s rental homes, but between 2022–2025 many left the market due to:

  • High interest rates

  • High insurance premiums

  • High maintenance costs

  • Uncertainty over land tax and regulation

  • Negative gearing concerns

  • Falling yields in some markets

  • Better returns in cash and equities

Impact:

Fewer investment properties → fewer rentals → higher prices.

“When investors leave, renters suffer.”

6. STUDENT AND MIGRATION PRESSURES

International students and skilled migrants are essential to Australia’s economy — but their return has collided with housing shortages.

Student Accommodation Crisis

Universities admitted more students than available beds, causing:

  • Overflow into nearby suburbs

  • Huge rental competition

  • Higher rents around campuses

Migration Effects

Migrants overwhelmingly rent before they buy.

Population increases are healthy —
but only when matched with housing supply.

Australia did not match supply to migration intake.

7. SHORT-TERM RENTALS (AIRBNB) REMOVE LONG-TERM SUPPLY

In tourist areas or inner cities, short-term rentals remove potentially thousands of long-term rental homes.

Approximate Airbnb Impact

  • Byron Bay: 10–15% of housing stock

  • Hobart: 8–10%

  • Melbourne CBD: thousands of units

  • Gold Coast: significant pressure

  • Regional NSW & QLD: substantial removal

More councils are enforcing limits — but progress is slow.

8. RENTAL APPLICATION PRESSURE IS EXTREME

Renters now face:

  • 50+ applicants per property

  • Inspections with lines down the street

  • Higher documentation expectations

  • Offers above asking price

  • Requests for references, resumes, ID, bank statements

  • Competition from higher-income applicants

This creates:

  • Stress

  • Uncertainty

  • Delayed household formation

  • Overcrowding

  • Difficulty relocating for work

  • Lower productivity

Renting now feels like trying to win a lottery.

9. RENTAL STRESS IS BECOMING NORMAL

Economists define rental stress as spending more than 30% of gross income on rent.

By this measure:

  • More than 50% of renters aged 18–40 are in stress

  • More than 60% of single parents are in stress

  • More than 40% of renters in outer suburbs are in stress

  • More than 30% of renters aged 55+ are in extreme stress

This is the highest level in modern Australian history.

10. REGULATIONS ARE CHANGING — SLOWLY

States are moving toward:

  • Longer leases

  • Fairer bond rules

  • Limits on rental bidding

  • Better minimum standards

  • Stricter Airbnb controls

  • More tenant protections

But:

  • Policies vary wildly across states

  • Some reforms reduce investor appetite

  • Others have minimal immediate impact

Without more supply, regulation alone cannot fix the crisis.

11. WHAT NEEDS TO CHANGE TO HELP RENTERS

Australia cannot rely on a broken supply pipeline forever.

Real solutions require structural change.

To fix renting, Australia must:

1. Build at least 240,000 homes per year

Including:

  • mid-rise apartments

  • townhouses

  • build-to-rent

  • student housing

2. Encourage investor activity responsibly

Balanced tax and regulatory settings.

3. Rapidly expand build-to-rent

To stabilise rental markets.

4. Strengthen rental protections

Without discouraging supply.

5. Increase social and affordable housing

To protect vulnerable renters.

6. Reduce Airbnb overuse where necessary

Through balanced local regulation.

7. Simplify planning systems

To build faster.

WHAT RENTING WILL LOOK LIKE BY 2030

1. More long-term renters

Especially families and older Australians.

2. Rising build-to-rent developments

Better quality, more stable leases.

3. Higher density living

Particularly in inner and middle suburbs.

4. Better tenant protections

Standard across most states.

5. Slower rent growth

Once supply finally picks up (likely after 2027).

6. Stronger government intervention

Especially around:

  • social housing

  • planning reform

  • infrastructure coordination

Renting will improve — but only gradually.

THE BOTTOM LINE

Renting in Australia in 2025 is shaped by:

  • chronic housing shortage

  • rapid population recovery

  • high construction costs

  • investor retreat

  • student overcrowding

  • planning delays

  • supply bottlenecks

Renters are feeling the full force of a structural housing failure.

The crisis will not end quickly — but with long-term reform, Australia can shift from scarcity to stability.

Renting in Australia

The New Rules, Pressures and Realities of a Market Under Extreme StressAustralia’s rental market is now one of the tightest an...

Why Australia cannot build enough homes

THE REAL REASONS BEHIND THE CONSTRUCTION SHORTFALL Australia’s housing crisis has one fundamental cause: we do not build enou...

Australia's Housing Crisis Explained

Why the System Broke — And What Might Fix It Australia is living through the most severe housing shortage in its modern histo...